論文 - 詳細
| RRC ID | 58309 |
|---|---|
| 著者 | Srivastava V, Griess VC, Keena MA. |
| タイトル | Assessing the Potential Distribution of Asian Gypsy Moth in Canada: A Comparison of Two Methodological Approaches. |
| ジャーナル | Sci Rep |
| Abstract |
Gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) is one of the world's worst hardwood defoliating invasive alien species. It is currently spreading across North America, damaging forest ecosystems and posing a significant economic threat. Two subspecies L. d. asiatica and L. d. japonica, collectively referred to as Asian gypsy moth (AGM) are of special concern as they have traits that make them better invaders than their European counterpart (e.g. flight capability of females). We assessed the potential distribution of AGM in Canada using two presence-only species distribution models, Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) and Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Prediction (GARP). In addition, we mapped AGM potential future distribution under two climate change scenarios (A1B and A2) while implementing dispersal constraints using the cellular automation model MigClim. MaxEnt had higher AUC, pAUC and sensitivity scores (0.82/1.40/1.00) when compared to GARP (0.70/1.26/0.9), indicating better discrimination of suitable versus unsuitable areas for AGM. The models indicated that suitable conditions for AGM were present in the provinces of British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick. The human influence index was the variable found to contribute the most in predicting the distribution of AGM. These model results can be used to identify areas at risk for this pest, to inform strategic and tactical pest management decisions. |
| 巻・号 | 10(1) |
| ページ | 22 |
| 公開日 | 2020-1-8 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41598-019-57020-7 |
| PII | 10.1038/s41598-019-57020-7 |
| PMID | 31913334 |
| PMC | PMC6949248 |
| MeSH | Animals Asia Canada Climate Ecosystem* Genetic Markers* Genetic Variation* Humans Introduced Species / statistics & numerical data* Models, Theoretical* Moths / genetics Moths / growth & development Moths / physiology* |
| IF | 3.998 |
| 引用数 | 0 |
| リソース情報 | |
| GBIF | Insect specimens of Otaru Museum Insect specimens of Kaizuka City Museum of Natural History Insect specimens of Rikuzen-Takata City Museum Insect specimens of Iwate Prefectural Museum Insect specimens of Toyota City Nature Sanctuary Insect specimens of Sugadaira Montane Research Center, University of Tsukuba Insect specimens of Okinawa Prefectural Museum & Art Museum Entomological Specimens of Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Pref., Japan Insect specimens of Sagamihara City Museum Insect specimens of Natural Museum of Geihoku Akita Prefectural Museum, Insect Collection Ibaraki Nature Museum, Arthropoda collection Insect specimens of Kashihara City Museum of Insect Insect Specimen Database of Fukui City Museum of Natural History Osaka Prefectural Minoh Park Insects Museum Insect specimens in the Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan Lepidoptera specimen database of Osaka Museum of Natural History Insect collection of Itami City Museum of Insects Insect specimen database of Atsugi City Museum Gunma Museum of Natural History, Insect Specimen Insect Collection of Natural History Museum and Institute, Chiba Lepidopterous specimens of Yamagata Prefectural Museum Insect specimens of Komatsu City Museum Insect specimens of Toyama Science Museum |