RRC ID 66980
著者 Miller EF, Green RE, Balmford A, Maisano Delser P, Beyer R, Somveille M, Leonardi M, Amos W, Manica A.
タイトル Bayesian Skyline Plots disagree with range size changes based on Species Distribution Models for Holarctic birds.
ジャーナル Mol Ecol
Abstract During the Quaternary, large climate oscillations impacted the distribution and demography of species globally. Two approaches have played a major role in reconstructing changes through time: Bayesian Skyline Plots (BSPs), which reconstruct population fluctuations based on genetic data, and Species Distribution Models (SDMs), which allow us to back-cast the range occupied by a species based on its climatic preferences. In this paper, we contrast these two approaches by applying them to a large data set of 102 Holarctic bird species, for which both mitochondrial DNA sequences and distribution maps are available, to reconstruct their dynamics since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Most species experienced an increase in effective population size (Ne , as estimated by BSPs) as well as an increase in geographical range (as reconstructed by SDMs) since the LGM; however, we found no correlation between the magnitude of changes in Ne and range size. The only clear signal we could detect was a later and greater increase in Ne for wetland birds compared to species that live in other habitats, a probable consequence of a delayed and more extensive increase in the extent of this habitat type after the LGM. The lack of correlation between SDM and BSP reconstructions could not be reconciled even when range shifts were considered. We suggest that this pattern might be linked to changes in population densities, which can be independent of range changes, and caution that interpreting either SDMs or BSPs independently is problematic and potentially misleading.
巻・号 30(16)
ページ 3993-4004
公開日 2021-8-1
DOI 10.1111/mec.16032
PMID 34152661
MeSH Animals Bayes Theorem Birds* / genetics DNA, Mitochondrial* / genetics Ecosystem Genetic Variation Phylogeny Phylogeography Population Density
IF 5.163
リソース情報
GBIF Bird specimens of Natural History Museum, Kishiwada City Bird specimens of Okinawa Prefectural Museum & Art Museum Bird specimens of Kawasaki Municipal Science Museum Migratory shorebirds (sandpipers and plovers) in Hokkaido Birds collection of Abiko City Museum of Birds Bird specimens of the Yamashina Institute for Ornithology Bird specimens of Obihiro Centennial City Museum Bird Specimens in the Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo, Japan Vertebrate specimens of Kumamoto City Museum Bird Collection of Yokosuka City Museum Bird specimens of Himeji City Science Museum Bird specimens of Tochigi Prefectural Museum Birds Specimens of Akita Prefectural Museum Ibaraki Nature Museum, Birds collection Akita Prefectural Museum, Observation Records of Birds in Akita Prefecture Bird collection of National Museum of Nature and Science Zoological specimens of Gifu Prefectural Museum Bird specimens of Miyazaki Prefecture Museum of Nature and History Bird specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History Bird specimens of Komatsu City Museum Annual Census on Waterfowl (Anatidae) Population Monitoring Sites 1000 Satoyama Birds Bird specimens of Toyota City Nature Sanctuary Bird specimens of Takatsuki Nature Museum (Aquapia Akutagawa) Bird specimens of Bihoro Museum Bird specimens of Oiso Municipal Museum Fixed Point Survey for Shorebirds of the family Scolopacidae and Charadriidae Bird specimens of Saitama Museum of Natural History Bird specimens of Ryukyu University Museum (Fujukan)