| RRC ID |
68190
|
| 著者 |
Baumbach L, Warren DL, Yousefpour R, Hanewinkel M.
|
| タイトル |
Climate change may induce connectivity loss and mountaintop extinction in Central American forests.
|
| ジャーナル |
Commun Biol
|
| Abstract |
The tropical forests of Central America serve a pivotal role as biodiversity hotspots and provide ecosystem services securing human livelihood. However, climate change is expected to affect the species composition of forest ecosystems, lead to forest type transitions and trigger irrecoverable losses of habitat and biodiversity. Here, we investigate potential impacts of climate change on the environmental suitability of main plant functional types (PFTs) across Central America. Using a large database of occurrence records and physiological data, we classify tree species into trait-based groups and project their suitability under three representative concentration pathways (RCPs 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5) with an ensemble of state-of-the-art correlative modelling methods. Our results forecast transitions from wet towards generalist or dry forest PFTs for large parts of the study region. Moreover, suitable area for wet-adapted PFTs is projected to latitudinally diverge and lose connectivity, while expected upslope shifts of montane species point to high risks of mountaintop extinction. These findings underline the urgent need to safeguard the connectivity of habitats through biological corridors and extend protected areas in the identified transition hotspots.
|
| 巻・号 |
4(1)
|
| ページ |
869
|
| 公開日 |
2021-7-15
|
| DOI |
10.1038/s42003-021-02359-9
|
| PII |
10.1038/s42003-021-02359-9
|
| 解説 |
BiodiC-J data were referenced.
|
| PMID |
34267317
|
| PMC |
PMC8282624
|
| MeSH |
Animals
Biodiversity
Central America
Climate Change*
Conservation of Natural Resources / methods
Conservation of Natural Resources / statistics & numerical data
Conservation of Natural Resources / trends
Ecosystem*
Forestry / methods
Forestry / statistics & numerical data*
Forestry / trends
Geography
Humans
Models, Theoretical
Plants / classification
Plants / metabolism*
Population Dynamics
Trees / classification
Trees / metabolism*
Tropical Climate
|
| IF |
4.165
|
| リソース情報 |
| GBIF |
Vascular plant specimens of Nagano Environmental Conservation Research Institute, Nagano Prefecture
Tracheophyta collection of Biodiversity Center of Japan, Ministry of the Environment
Vascular plant specimens of Toyama Science Museum
The 2-5th National Survey on the Natural Environment: Vegetation Survey
Spermatophyte collection of Himeji City Science Museum
Plant Specimen Database of Tama Forest Science Garden, Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Japan
Vascular plant specimens of Akita Prefectural Museum
Ibaraki Nature Museum, Vascular Plants collection
Vascular plant specimens of National Museum of Nature and Science (TNS)
Vascular Plants Collection of Sagamihara City Museum
Plant specimens in the Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan
Plant specimens deposited in Osaka Museum of Natural History, Japan
Vascular Plant Specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History
Herbarium Specimens of Bonin and Ryukyu Islands |
