RRC ID |
68312
|
著者 |
Benedetti F, Vogt M, Elizondo UH, Righetti D, Zimmermann NE, Gruber N.
|
タイトル |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming.
|
ジャーナル |
Nat Commun
|
Abstract |
Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean's food-web, yet the impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an ensemble of species distribution models for a total of 336 phytoplankton and 524 zooplankton species to determine their present and future habitat suitability patterns. For the end of this century, under a high emission scenario, we find an overall increase in plankton species richness driven by ocean warming, and a poleward shift of the species' distributions at a median speed of 35 km/decade. Phytoplankton species richness is projected to increase by more than 16% over most regions except for the Arctic Ocean. In contrast, zooplankton richness is projected to slightly decline in the tropics, but to increase strongly in temperate to subpolar latitudes. In these latitudes, nearly 40% of the phytoplankton and zooplankton assemblages are replaced by poleward shifting species. This implies that climate change threatens the contribution of plankton communities to plankton-mediated ecosystem services such as biological carbon sequestration.
|
巻・号 |
12(1)
|
ページ |
5226
|
公開日 |
2021-9-1
|
DOI |
10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x
|
PII |
10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x
|
PMID |
34471105
|
PMC |
PMC8410869
|
MeSH |
Animals
Arctic Regions
Biodiversity*
Climate Change
Ecosystem
Food Chain
Global Warming*
Marine Biology*
Phytoplankton
Plankton / classification*
Temperature
Zooplankton
|
IF |
12.121
|
リソース情報 |
GBIF |
Chaetognatha collection of National Museum of Nature and Science
Invertebrate collection of the Seto Marine Biological Laboratory, Kyoto University
Crustacea Collection of Natural History Museum and Institute, Chiba
Microbial Culture Collection, National Institute for Environmental Studies |