| RRC ID |
68460
|
| 著者 |
Fedorov N, Kutueva A, Muldashev A, Mikhaylenko O, Martynenko V, Fedorova Y.
|
| タイトル |
Prediction of habitat suitability for Patrinia sibirica Juss. in the Southern Urals.
|
| ジャーナル |
Sci Rep
|
| Abstract |
The paper presents the results of predictions of the habitat persistence for rare relict of the Pleistocene floristic complex Patrinia sibirica (L.) Juss. in the Southern Urals under various forecasted climate change scenarios. Climate variables from CHELSA BIOCLIM, elevation data (GMTED2010) and coarse fragment content in the top level of soil were used as predictors for modeling in the MaxEnt software. The impact of climate change on P. sibirica habitats under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios calculated from an ensemble of four general circulation models has been analyzed. The modeling has shown that the changes in the habitat suitability depend on the altitude. Deterioration of the habitats could be attributed to a temperature increase in mountain forest locations, and to a precipitation of driest quarter increase in mountain forest-steppe locations. In both cases, this leads to the expansion of forest and shrub vegetation. Monitoring of the habitat persistence of P. sibirica and other relict species of the Pleistocene floristic complex can play a major role in predictions, as their massive decline would constitute that climatic changes exceed the ranges of their fluctuations in the Holocene.
|
| 巻・号 |
11(1)
|
| ページ |
19606
|
| 公開日 |
2021-10-4
|
| DOI |
10.1038/s41598-021-99018-0
|
| PII |
10.1038/s41598-021-99018-0
|
| PMID |
34608203
|
| PMC |
PMC8490377
|
| MeSH |
Altitude
Climate*
Climate Change
Ecosystem*
Forests
Patrinia*
Russia
|
| IF |
3.998
|
| リソース情報 |
| GBIF |
Plant Specimen Database of Tama Forest Science Garden, Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Japan
Herbarium, University Archives and Collections, Fukushima University, Japan (FKSE)
Herbarium of Hokkaido University Museum (SAPS)
Ibaraki Nature Museum, Vascular Plants collection
Vascular plant specimens of National Museum of Nature and Science (TNS)
Plant Specimens of Kurashiki Museum of Natural History
Plant specimens deposited in Osaka Museum of Natural History, Japan
Vascular Plant Specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History
Plant specimens of Obihiro Centennial City Museum
Vascular plant specimens of Toyama Science Museum
The 2-5th National Survey on the Natural Environment: Vegetation Survey |
