RRC ID 69103
著者 Solovyeva D, Bysykatova-Harmey I, Vartanyan SL, Kondratyev A, Huettmann F.
タイトル Modeling Eastern Russian High Arctic Geese (Anser fabalis, A. albifrons) during moult and brood rearing in the 'New Digital Arctic'.
ジャーナル Sci Rep
Abstract Many polar species and habitats are now affected by man-made global climate change and underlying infrastructure. These anthropogenic forces have resulted in clear implications and many significant changes in the arctic, leading to the emergence of new climate, habitats and other issues including digital online infrastructure representing a 'New Artic'. Arctic grazers, like Eastern Russian migratory populations of Tundra Bean Goose Anser fabalis and Greater White-fronted Goose A. albifrons, are representative examples and they are affected along the entire flyway in East Asia, namely China, Japan and Korea. Here we present the best publicly-available long-term (24 years) digitized geographic information system (GIS) data for the breeding study area (East Yakutia and Chukotka) and its habitats with ISO-compliant metadata. Further, we used seven publicly available compiled Open Access GIS predictor layers to predict the distribution for these two species within the tundra habitats. Using BIG DATA we are able to improve on the ecological niche prediction inference for both species by focusing for the first time specifically on biological relevant population cohorts: post-breeding moulting non-breeders, as well as post-breeding parent birds with broods. To assure inference with certainty, we assessed it with 4 lines of evidence including alternative best-available open access field data from GBIF.org as well as occurrence data compiled from the literature. Despite incomplete data, we found a good model accuracy in support of our evidence for a robust inference of the species distributions. Our predictions indicate a strong publicly best-available relative index of occurrence (RIO). These results are based on the quantified ecological niche showing more realistic gradual occurrence patterns but which are not fully in agreement with the current strictly applied parsimonious flyway and species delineations. While our predictions are to be improved further, e.g. when synergetic data are made freely available, here we offer within data caveats the first open access model platform for fine-tuning and future predictions for this otherwise poorly represented region in times of a rapid changing industrialized 'New Arctic' with global repercussions.
巻・号 11(1)
ページ 22051
公開日 2021-11-11
DOI 10.1038/s41598-021-01595-7
PII 10.1038/s41598-021-01595-7
PMID 34764401
PMC PMC8586028
MeSH Animal Distribution Animal Migration Animals Arctic Regions Climate Change Ecosystem Geese / physiology* Models, Biological Molting Reproduction
IF 3.998
リソース情報
GBIF Long-term fauna and flora records of the experimental forests of the Forest Research Station of Hokkaido University, Japan Birds collection of Abiko City Museum of Birds Bird specimens of the Yamashina Institute for Ornithology Bird Specimens in the Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo, Japan Bird specimens of Himeji City Science Museum Birds Specimens of Akita Prefectural Museum Akita Prefectural Museum, Observation Records of Birds in Akita Prefecture Bird collection of National Museum of Nature and Science Zoological specimens of Gifu Prefectural Museum Bird specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History Bird specimens of Komatsu City Museum Annual Census on Waterfowl (Anatidae) Population Monitoring Sites 1000 Satoyama Birds