Reference - Detail
| RRC ID | 72086 |
|---|---|
| Author | Ben Lamine E, Schickele A, Goberville E, Beaugrand G, Allemand D, Raybaud V. |
| Title | Expected contraction in the distribution ranges of demersal fish of high economic value in the Mediterranean and European Seas. |
| Journal | Sci Rep |
| Abstract |
Fisheries and aquaculture are facing many challenges worldwide, especially adaptation to climate change. Investigating future distributional changes of largely harvested species has become an extensive research topic, aiming at providing realistic ecological scenarios on which to build management measures, to help fisheries and aquaculture adapt to future climate-driven changes. Here, we use an ensemble modelling approach to estimate the contemporary and future distributional range of eight demersal fish species of high economic value in the Mediterranean Sea. We identify a cardinal influence of (i) temperature on fish species distributions, all being shaped by yearly mean and seasonality in sea bottom temperature, and (ii) the primary production. By assessing the effects of changes in future climate conditions under three Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) scenarios over three periods of the twenty-first century, we project a contraction of the distributional range of the eight species in the Mediterranean Sea, with a general biogeographical displacement towards the North European coasts. This will help anticipating changes in future catch potential in a warmer world, which is expected to have substantial economic consequences for Mediterranean fisheries. |
| Volume | 12(1) |
| Pages | 10150 |
| Published | 2022-6-16 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41598-022-14151-8 |
| PII | 10.1038/s41598-022-14151-8 |
| PMID | 35710852 |
| PMC | PMC9203508 |
| MeSH | Animals Aquaculture Climate Change Ecosystem Fisheries* Fishes* Mediterranean Sea |
| IF | 3.998 |
| Altmetric score |
オルトメトリクス指標項目
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| The most frequently cited source | X(Twitter) |
| Total number of mentions | 4 |
| Altmetric score changes over past 6months | 0.0 |
| Resource | |
| GBIF | Fish collection of the Kagoshima University Museum Fish Collection of Hokkaido University Fish Specimens of Tokushima Prefectural Museum, Japan Fish collection of National Museum of Nature and Science Fish Collection of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History |