RRC ID 73201
著者 Song JW, Jung JM, Nam Y, Jung JK, Jung S, Lee WH.
タイトル Spatial ensemble modeling for predicting the potential distribution of Lymantria dispar asiatica (Lepidoptera: Erebidae: Lymantriinae) in South Korea.
ジャーナル Environ Monit Assess
Abstract The spongy moth, Lymantria dispar, is a pest that damages various tree species throughout North America and Eurasia, has recently emerged in South Korea, threatening local forests and landscapes. The establishment of effective countermeasures against this species' outbreak requires predicting its potential distribution with climate change. In this study, we used species distribution models (CLIMEX and MaxEnt) to predict the potential distribution of the spongy moth and identify areas at risk of exposure to a sustained occurrence of the pest by constructing an ensemble map that simultaneously projected the outcomes of the two models. The results showed that the spongy moth could be distributed over the entire country under the current climate, but the number of suitable areas would decrease under a climate change scenario. This study is expected to provide basic data that can predict areas requiring intensive control and monitoring in advance with methodologically improved modeling technique.
巻・号 194(12)
ページ 889
公開日 2022-10-14
DOI 10.1007/s10661-022-10609-4
PII 10.1007/s10661-022-10609-4
PMID 36241949
MeSH Animals Environmental Monitoring* Forests Moths* Republic of Korea
IF 1.903
リソース情報
GBIF Insect specimens of Otaru Museum Insect specimens of Kaizuka City Museum of Natural History Insect specimens of Rikuzen-Takata City Museum Insect specimens of Iwate Prefectural Museum Insect specimens of Toyota City Nature Sanctuary Entomological Specimens of Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Pref., Japan Insect specimens of Sagamihara City Museum Lepidoptera collection of National Museum of Nature and Science Akita Prefectural Museum, Insect Collection Ibaraki Nature Museum, Arthropoda collection Lepidoptera specimen database of Osaka Museum of Natural History Insect collection of Itami City Museum of Insects Gunma Museum of Natural History, Insect Specimen Insect Collection of Natural History Museum and Institute, Chiba Lepidopterous specimens of Yamagata Prefectural Museum Insect specimens of Komatsu City Museum Insect specimens of Toyama Science Museum