RRC ID |
73201
|
著者 |
Song JW, Jung JM, Nam Y, Jung JK, Jung S, Lee WH.
|
タイトル |
Spatial ensemble modeling for predicting the potential distribution of Lymantria dispar asiatica (Lepidoptera: Erebidae: Lymantriinae) in South Korea.
|
ジャーナル |
Environ Monit Assess
|
Abstract |
The spongy moth, Lymantria dispar, is a pest that damages various tree species throughout North America and Eurasia, has recently emerged in South Korea, threatening local forests and landscapes. The establishment of effective countermeasures against this species' outbreak requires predicting its potential distribution with climate change. In this study, we used species distribution models (CLIMEX and MaxEnt) to predict the potential distribution of the spongy moth and identify areas at risk of exposure to a sustained occurrence of the pest by constructing an ensemble map that simultaneously projected the outcomes of the two models. The results showed that the spongy moth could be distributed over the entire country under the current climate, but the number of suitable areas would decrease under a climate change scenario. This study is expected to provide basic data that can predict areas requiring intensive control and monitoring in advance with methodologically improved modeling technique.
|
巻・号 |
194(12)
|
ページ |
889
|
公開日 |
2022-10-14
|
DOI |
10.1007/s10661-022-10609-4
|
PII |
10.1007/s10661-022-10609-4
|
PMID |
36241949
|
MeSH |
Animals
Environmental Monitoring*
Forests
Moths*
Republic of Korea
|
IF |
1.903
|
リソース情報 |
GBIF |
Insect specimens of Otaru Museum
Insect specimens of Kaizuka City Museum of Natural History
Insect specimens of Rikuzen-Takata City Museum
Insect specimens of Iwate Prefectural Museum
Insect specimens of Toyota City Nature Sanctuary
Entomological Specimens of Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Pref., Japan
Insect specimens of Sagamihara City Museum
Lepidoptera collection of National Museum of Nature and Science
Akita Prefectural Museum, Insect Collection
Ibaraki Nature Museum, Arthropoda collection
Lepidoptera specimen database of Osaka Museum of Natural History
Insect collection of Itami City Museum of Insects
Gunma Museum of Natural History, Insect Specimen
Insect Collection of Natural History Museum and Institute, Chiba
Lepidopterous specimens of Yamagata Prefectural Museum
Insect specimens of Komatsu City Museum
Insect specimens of Toyama Science Museum |