論文 - 詳細
| RRC ID | 73209 |
|---|---|
| 著者 | Bellot S, Lu Y, Antonelli A, Baker WJ, Dransfield J, Forest F, Kissling WD, Leitch IJ, Nic Lughadha E, Ondo I, Pironon S, Walker BE, Cámara-Leret R, Bachman SP. |
| タイトル | The likely extinction of hundreds of palm species threatens their contributions to people and ecosystems. |
| ジャーナル | Nat Ecol Evol |
| Abstract |
Protecting nature's contributions to people requires accelerating extinction risk assessment and better integrating evolutionary, functional and used diversity with conservation planning. Here, we report machine learning extinction risk predictions for 1,381 palm species (Arecaceae), a plant family of high socio-economic and ecological importance. We integrate these predictions with published assessments for 508 species (covering 75% of all palm species) and we identify top-priority regions for palm conservation on the basis of their proportion of threatened evolutionarily distinct, functionally distinct and used species. Finally, we explore palm use resilience to identify non-threatened species that could potentially serve as substitutes for threatened used species by providing similar products. We estimate that over a thousand palms (56%) are probably threatened, including 185 species with documented uses. Some regions (New Guinea, Vanuatu and Vietnam) emerge as top ten priorities for conservation only after incorporating machine learning extinction risk predictions. Potential substitutes are identified for 91% of the threatened used species and regional use resilience increases with total palm richness. However, 16 threatened used species lack potential substitutes and 30 regions lack substitutes for at least one of their threatened used palm species. Overall, we show that hundreds of species of this keystone family face extinction, some of them probably irreplaceable, at least locally. This highlights the need for urgent actions to avoid major repercussions on palm-associated ecosystem processes and human livelihoods in the coming decades. |
| 巻・号 | 6(11) |
| ページ | 1710-1722 |
| 公開日 | 2022-9-26 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41559-022-01858-0 |
| PII | 10.1038/s41559-022-01858-0 |
| PMID | 36163257 |
| MeSH | Animals Arecaceae* Conservation of Natural Resources Ecosystem* Endangered Species Humans Plants |
| IF | 12.543 |
| リソース情報 | |
| GBIF | Plant specimens of Ishikawa Museum of Natural History Plant specimens of Toyota City Nature Sanctuary Plant specimens of Horaiji-san Museum of Natural History Toji K. collection Vascular plant specimens of Akita Prefectural Museum Vascular plants database of Atsugi City Museum Herbarium, University Archives and Collections, Fukushima University, Japan (FKSE) Angiospermatatophytina Collection of Saitama Museum of Natural History Vascular plant specimens of Iida City Museum Vascular Plant Collection of Natural History Museum and Institute, Chiba Herbarium Specimens of Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Pref., Japan Spermatophyta collection of Museum of Natural and Environmental History, Shizuoka Ibaraki Nature Museum, Vascular Plants collection Vascular plant specimens of National Museum of Nature and Science (TNS) Plant Specimens of Kurashiki Museum of Natural History Herbarium Specimens of Tokushima Prefectural Museum, Japan Herbarium of Kitakyushu Museum of Natural History and Human History Vascular Plants Collection of Sagamihara City Museum Plant specimens in the Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan Plant specimens deposited in Osaka Museum of Natural History, Japan Vascular Plant Specimens of Kochi Prefectural Makino Botanical Garden Vascular Plant Specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History Gunma Museum of Natural History, Vascular Plant Specimen Vascular plants collection of Hiratsuka City Museum Herbarium Specimens of Bonin and Ryukyu Islands Occurrence data of woody plants in the Ginkakuzi-san National Forest Plant specimens of Parthenon Tama Museum (PTHM) Tracheophyta collection of Biodiversity Center of Japan, Ministry of the Environment Plant specimens of Toyota City Nature Sanctuary (from non-museum circle) Vascular plant specimens of Toyama Science Museum |