RRC ID 73541
Author Ecke F, Han BA, Hörnfeldt B, Khalil H, Magnusson M, Singh NJ, Ostfeld RS.
Title Population fluctuations and synanthropy explain transmission risk in rodent-borne zoonoses.
Journal Nat Commun
Abstract Population fluctuations are widespread across the animal kingdom, especially in the order Rodentia, which includes many globally important reservoir species for zoonotic pathogens. The implications of these fluctuations for zoonotic spillover remain poorly understood. Here, we report a global empirical analysis of data describing the linkages between habitat use, population fluctuations and zoonotic reservoir status in rodents. Our quantitative synthesis is based on data collated from papers and databases. We show that the magnitude of population fluctuations combined with species' synanthropy and degree of human exploitation together distinguish most rodent reservoirs at a global scale, a result that was consistent across all pathogen types and pathogen transmission modes. Our spatial analyses identified hotspots of high transmission risk, including regions where reservoir species dominate the rodent community. Beyond rodents, these generalities inform our understanding of how natural and anthropogenic factors interact to increase the risk of zoonotic spillover in a rapidly changing world.
Volume 13(1)
Pages 7532
Published 2022-12-7
DOI 10.1038/s41467-022-35273-7
PII 10.1038/s41467-022-35273-7
PMID 36477188
PMC PMC9729607
MeSH Animals Humans Rodentia*
IF 12.121
Resource
GBIF Long-term fauna and flora records of the experimental forests of the Forest Research Station of Hokkaido University, Japan Mammal specimens of Okinawa Prefectural Museum & Art Museum Mammal specimens of Oiso Municipal Museum Mammal specimens of Ryukyu University Museum (Fujukan) Mammalians Specimens of Akita Prefectural Museum Ibaraki Nature Museum, Mammals collection Mammal collection of National Museum of Nature and Science Mammals specimens of Taga Town Museum, Shiga Pref., Japan Mammal specimens of Kawasaki Municipal Science Museum Mammal specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History Gunma Museum of Natural History, Mammal Specimen Mammal specimens of Takatsuki Nature Museum (Aquapia Akutagawa) Mammal specimens of Saitama Museum of Natural History