RRC ID 75666
著者 Strubbe D, Jiménez L, Barbosa AM, Davis AJS, Lens L, Rahbek C.
タイトル Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy.
ジャーナル Nat Commun
Abstract Invasive species pose a major threat to biodiversity and inflict massive economic costs. Effective management of bio-invasions depends on reliable predictions of areas at risk of invasion, as they allow early invader detection and rapid responses. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains as to how to predict best potential invasive distribution ranges. Using a set of mainly (sub)tropical birds introduced to Europe, we show that the true extent of the geographical area at risk of invasion can accurately be determined by using ecophysiological mechanistic models that quantify species' fundamental thermal niches. Potential invasive ranges are primarily constrained by functional traits related to body allometry and body temperature, metabolic rates, and feather insulation. Given their capacity to identify tolerable climates outside of contemporary realized species niches, mechanistic predictions are well suited for informing effective policy and management aimed at preventing the escalating impacts of invasive species.
巻・号 14(1)
ページ 2520
公開日 2023-5-2
DOI 10.1038/s41467-023-38329-4
PII 10.1038/s41467-023-38329-4
PMID 37130835
PMC PMC10154326
MeSH Animals Biodiversity* Birds / physiology Climate Ecosystem* Introduced Species
IF 12.121
リソース情報
GBIF Bird specimens of Natural History Museum, Kishiwada City Birds collection of Abiko City Museum of Birds Bird specimens of the Yamashina Institute for Ornithology Bird Specimens in the Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo, Japan Bird specimens of Himeji City Science Museum Ibaraki Nature Museum, Birds collection Bird collection of National Museum of Nature and Science Zoological specimens of Gifu Prefectural Museum Bird specimens of Komatsu City Museum