論文 - 詳細
| RRC ID | 79336 |
|---|---|
| 著者 | Manrique-Ascencio A, Prieto-Torres DA, Villalobos F, Guevara R. |
| タイトル | Climate-driven shifts in the diversity of plants in the Neotropical seasonally dry forest: Evaluating the effectiveness of protected areas. |
| ジャーナル | Glob Chang Biol |
| Abstract |
Given the current environmental crisis, biodiversity protection is one of the most urgent socio-environmental priorities. However, the effectiveness of protected areas (PAs), the primary strategy for safeguarding ecosystems, is challenged by global climate change (GCC), with evidence showing that species are shifting their distributions into new areas, causing novel species assemblages. Therefore, there is a need to evaluate PAs' present and future effectiveness for biodiversity under the GCC. Here, we analyzed changes in the spatiotemporal patterns of taxonomic and phylogenetic diversity (PD) of plants associated with the Neotropical seasonally dry forest (NSDF) under GCC scenarios. We modeled the climatic niche of over 1000 plant species in five representative families (in terms of abundance, dominance, and endemism) of the NSDF. We predicted their potential distributions in the present and future years (2040, 2060, and 2080) based on an intermediate scenario of shared socio-economic pathways (SSP 3.70), allowing species to disperse to new sites or constrained to the current distribution. Then, we tested if the current PAs network represents the taxonomic and phylogenetic diversities. Our results suggest that GCC could promote novel species assemblages with local responses (communities' modifications) across the biome. In general, models predicted losses in the taxonomic and phylogenetic diversities of all the five plant families analyzed across the distribution of the NSDF. However, in the northern floristic groups (i.e., Antilles and Mesoamerica) of the NSDF, taxonomic and PD will be stable in GCC projections. In contrast, across the NSDF in South America, some cores will lose diversity while others will gain diversity under GCC scenarios. PAs in some NSDF regions appeared insufficient to protect the NSDF diversity. Thus, there is an urgent need to assess how the PA system could be better reconfigured to warrant the protection of the NSDF. |
| 巻・号 | 30(4) |
| ページ | e17282 |
| 公開日 | 2024-4-15 |
| DOI | 10.1111/gcb.17282 |
| 解説 | J-OBIS data were referenced. BiodiC-J data were referenced. |
| PMID | 38619685 |
| MeSH | Biodiversity Climate Change Ecosystem* Forests* Phylogeny |
| IF | 8.555 |
| オルトメトリクス指標 |
オルトメトリクス指標項目
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| 最多言及媒体 | X(Twitter) |
| 各媒体での言及数の合計 | 17 |
| 過去6か月間でのオルトメトリクス指標の変動値 | 0.0 |
| リソース情報 | |
| GBIF | Herbarium Specimens of The Kagoshima University Museum (KAG) Asia-Pacific Dataset Vascular plant specimens of the herbarium of the Tohoku University (TUS) The 6-7th National Survey on the Natural Environment: Vegetation Survey Herbarium Specimens of Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Pref., Japan Vascular plant specimens of National Museum of Nature and Science (TNS) Vascular Plant Specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History Vascular Plant Specimens of the URO Herbarium (Faculty of Education, University of the Ryukyus) Vascular Plant Specimens of the RYU Herbarium (Faculty of Science, University of the Ryukyus) Vascular plant specimens of Nagano Environmental Conservation Research Institute, Nagano Prefecture The 2nd and 3rd National Survey on the Natural Environment: Vegetation Survey (common species) Vascular plant specimens of Toyama Science Museum |