Reference - Detail
| RRC ID | 82989 |
|---|---|
| Author | Zhang Y, Hu J, Wang C, Wang Y, Ji M, Ma F, Lu Y. |
| Title | Estimating global geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Ammannia coccinea under climate change based on Biomod2. |
| Journal | Sci Rep |
| Abstract |
Invasive alien plants pose a significant threat to biodiversity and the agricultural economy. The invasive weed (Ammannia coccinea) competes with rice in paddy fields, potentially threatening rice production. Despite the crucial need to estimate the global geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of A. coccinea for effective early warning, control strategies, and global rice security, relevant research remains scarce. This study utilized the Biomod2 platform, which integrates multiple single models into ensemble model, incorporating environmental and species data to analyze the distribution range shifts of A. coccinea under current and future climate scenarios. It also quantified and analyzed shifts in the species' ecological niche across these climate scenarios. The results indicated that the potential suitable areas for A. coccinea were mainly in Southern North America, northern and south-eastern South America, south-western Europe, the Middle East, central Africa, western Asia, south-eastern Asia, with a gradual increase in mid-high suitability habitat over time and radiation levels. While the overall ecological niche of A. coccinea remains stable, minor shifts are expected under future conditions. Temperature, precipitation, and the human impact index were the key factors influencing the future distribution of A. coccinea. Climate change contributes to the expansion of A. coccinea's highly suitable areas and shifts its ecological niche. Organizations efforts should focus on preventing the spread of A. coccinea in regions where its potential distribution overlaps with key rice production areas. The findings of this study provide critical insights into the global distribution and ecological niche dynamics of A. coccinea, aiding in the development of early warning and control strategies to mitigate its impact on biodiversity, agriculture, and particularly rice production under future climate scenarios. |
| Volume | 14(1) |
| Pages | 30579 |
| Published | 2024-12-20 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41598-024-82164-6 |
| PII | 10.1038/s41598-024-82164-6 |
| Description | BiodiC-J data were referenced. |
| PMID | 39706877 |
| PMC | PMC11662028 |
| MeSH | Agriculture / methods Biodiversity Climate Change* Ecosystem* Geography Introduced Species Oryza / growth & development Plant Weeds / growth & development |
| IF | 3.998 |
| Resource | |
| GBIF | Vascular plant specimens of the herbarium of the Tohoku University (TUS) Vascular Plant Specimens of Yamagata Prefectural Museum Herbarium, University Archives and Collections, Fukushima University, Japan (FKSE) Angiospermatatophytina Collection of Saitama Museum of Natural History Vascular Plant Collection of Natural History Museum and Institute, Chiba Herbarium Specimens of Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Pref., Japan Ibaraki Nature Museum, Vascular Plants collection Vascular plant specimens of National Museum of Nature and Science (TNS) Plant Specimens of Kurashiki Museum of Natural History Herbarium Specimens of Tokushima Prefectural Museum, Japan Vascular Plants Collection of Sagamihara City Museum Plant specimens in the Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan Plant specimens deposited in Osaka Museum of Natural History, Japan Vascular Plant Specimens of Kochi Prefectural Makino Botanical Garden Vascular Plant Specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History Gunma Museum of Natural History, Vascular Plant Specimen Vascular plants collection of Hiratsuka City Museum Vascular Plant Specimens of the RYU Herbarium (Faculty of Science, University of the Ryukyus) Vascular plant specimens of Sugadaira Research Station, Mountain Science Center, University of Tsukuba The 2nd and 3rd National Survey on the Natural Environment: Vegetation Survey (common species) Herbarium of Shinshu University Plant specimens of Parthenon Tama Museum (PTHM) Vascular plant specimens of Nagano Environmental Conservation Research Institute, Nagano Prefecture Plant specimens of Toyota City Nature Sanctuary (from non-museum circle) Vascular plant specimens of Toyama Science Museum |