| RRC ID |
89641
|
| 著者 |
E. Andrés Issaly, Alejandro M. Ferreiro, Matías C. Baranzelli, Alicia N. Sérsic, Valeria Paiaro
|
| タイトル |
Climate-driven potential distribution of the invasive tree tobacco and its overlap with biodiversity conservation areas worldwide
|
| ジャーナル |
Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation
|
| Abstract |
Biological invasions threaten global biodiversity, especially in high-value conservation areas, making it essential to predict where invasive species may become established in order to guide regional-scale biosecurity efforts. We used ecological niche modelling to estimate the potential distribution of the highly invasive plant Nicotiana glauca under current and future climate scenarios, and we assessed its overlap with global biodiversity hotspots and protected areas. Our findings showed that the species' suitable environment has an extensive geographical distribution, encompassing regions of Asia and northern Africa where it is not currently present or invasive. Although projections under climate change scenarios show an overall reduction in the total suitable area, higher-latitude regions, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere (i.e. the Nearctic and Palearctic realms), would become suitable for the species. Notably, a significant proportion of biodiversity hotspots and protected areas worldwide are currently suitable for N. glauca, and those located in the Palearctic realm are projected to become increasingly suitable in the future. Our study provides crucial spatial insights for the targeted prevention and control of a highly invasive plant. More broadly, it highlights the importance of incorporating region-specific assessments into invasion risk analyses to improve conservation planning.
|
| 巻・号 |
24
|
| ページ |
175-181
|
| 公開日 |
2026-2-14
|
| DOI |
10.1016/j.pecon.2026.02.002
|
| リソース情報 |
| GBIF |
Herbarium Specimens of Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo Pref., Japan
Plant specimens in the Museum of Nature and Human Activities, Hyogo
Vascular Plant Specimen database of Kanagawa Prefectural Museum of Natural History |
