論文 - 詳細
| RRC ID | 79314 |
|---|---|
| 著者 | Albano PG, Schultz L, Wessely J, Taviani M, Dullinger S, Danise S. |
| タイトル | The dawn of the tropical Atlantic invasion into the Mediterranean Sea. |
| ジャーナル | Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A |
| Abstract |
The Mediterranean Sea is a marine biodiversity hotspot already affected by climate-driven biodiversity collapses. Its highly endemic fauna is at further risk if global warming triggers an invasion of tropical Atlantic species. Here, we combine modern species occurrences with a unique paleorecord from the Last Interglacial (135 to 116 ka), a conservative analog of future climate, to model the future distribution of an exemplary subset of tropical West African mollusks, currently separated from the Mediterranean by cold upwelling off north-west Africa. We show that, already under an intermediate climate scenario (RCP 4.5) by 2050, climatic connectivity along north-west Africa may allow tropical species to colonize a by then largely environmentally suitable Mediterranean. The worst-case scenario RCP 8.5 leads to a fully tropicalized Mediterranean by 2100. The tropical Atlantic invasion will add to the ongoing Indo-Pacific invasion through the Suez Canal, irreversibly transforming the entire Mediterranean into a novel ecosystem unprecedented in human history. |
| 巻・号 | 121(15) |
| ページ | e2320687121 |
| 公開日 | 2024-4-1 |
| DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2320687121 |
| PMID | 38557179 |
| PMC | PMC11009679 |
| MeSH | Africa, Western Biodiversity* Ecosystem* Global Warming Humans Mediterranean Sea |
| IF | 9.412 |
| オルトメトリクス指標 |
オルトメトリクス指標項目
|
| 最多言及媒体 | X(Twitter) |
| 各媒体での言及数の合計 | 58 |
| 過去6か月間でのオルトメトリクス指標の変動値 | 0.0 |
| リソース情報 | |
| GBIF | Mollusca collection of National Museum of Nature and Science Shellfish specimens of the Nishinomiya Shell Museum, Japan |